Fantasy Basketball Sleepers to Avoid
By Rocco Minsk We know the thrill of finding the great fantasy basketball sleepers in round 12 who propel you to championship victory. As a longtime fantasy player, I have always prided myself in finding ten of the last two great sleepers. However, while hope springs eternal, there are some potential sleepers this season who you should just be avoiding for some reason or another. Below is our list of four sleepers to let someone else jump for.
(PHOTO J.C. RUIZ)
Justise Winslow – We have seen this movie a bunch of times; Athletic wingman, strong defensive player who can contribute to multiple categories. In Winslow’s case, the category where he hurts your team is the one that will keep him off the court. Winslow just plain old cannot shoot. When you see preseason articles about players working to improve their shot, you should anticipate that they will be a drag on your FG%. Winslow’s FT% is similarly deficient, having shot 61.7% last season and it has cratered under 50% in the preseason. In order to get on the floor, Winslow will need to shoot better since the heat have so many options on the wing even in the absence of Rodney McGruder. It is better to look elsewhere at other multi-category players who won’t tank your percentages.
Normal Powell – Powell had a breakout performance in the playoffs last year and earned a 4 year $42 million extension and has been talked about as a player on the rise. However, Powell does little else but score. Even during the preseason, while Powell has averaged 12.3 PPG, he has only paired that with 1.3 RPG and 2 APG and 35% shooting. His Player Efficiency Rating has never been above 14 in a season. Even if Powell scores more, he will not help in the peripheral stats department.
Robert Covington – Given that Covington’s ADP is in the 60s, you can make an argument that he is not even a sleeper, but he will still underperform nonetheless. I tend to view Covington much the same as I view Otto Porter. The prospect of multi-category contributions leads people to get a little carried away in ADP. Remember, that Covington piled up many of his statistics in the absence of the 76ers new options. Covington’s USG drops from 20.3 to 15.2 with Joel Embiid on the floor and I can only imagine that will persist when you add Markelle Fultz and Ben Simmons to the picture.
Joe Ingles – It has been common wisdom throughout the preseason that Ingles gets a sizable bump in value with Gordon Hayward in Boston now. What people forget is that Ingles already played big minutes with Rodney Hood hurt last year and did little to nothing with the opportunity. He also has underachieved this preseason in his extended time, averaging under 5 PPG despite playing over 20 minutes each preseason contest. The best case scenario for Ingles is 10 PPG, 4 RPG and 3 APG. Ingles is simply an inefficient player and more of the offense will route through Rudy Gobert and Rodney Hood than it will through Ingles.