Week 5 Draft Kings Value Plays
By Rocco Minsk The multitude of injuries last week creates some value for DFS players this week. The number of value players is capped for players of the main Sunday slate since the Vikings do not play on Sunday afternoon. Many of our value picks were highlighted on our main Draft Kings preview page so we will briefly reiterate them here while expounding in greater details on additional value plays.
Josh McCown ($4,500) No I don’t need my head checked. I admit that I flopped in week 1 due to starting Brian Hoyer, but look what the Cleveland Browns defense did for Andy Dalton. The risk here is that Bilal Powell and Elijah McGuire score all the TDs, but McCown should be good for at least one TD. All he needs to return solid value and for you to economize to spend elsewhere is 15 points and 225 yards plus a TD should get him there.
Ameer Abdullah ($4700) We named Abdullah as a strong play on our main weekly article. He was cleared to return to the game last week after his injury so missing this game is not a huge risk.
Andre Ellington ($4600) The PPR back should pick up some additional rushing carries. Six carries and seven receptions should net him 15 points even if he is kept out of the end zone.
Duke Johnson ($4900) Crowell has regressed bigly this year. It is the same Ellington story. This is the last week that you should be able to get him for under $5000.
C.J. Prosise($4000) J.D. McKissick shined while taking over Prosise’s role after another injury. Look for Prosise to shine when he reclaims his role and he is reported to be coming back against the Rams who are vulnerable against opposing team’s RBs. Look for Prosise to be in the mix to get 5-7 carries per game in addition to his four receptions.
Jaron Brown ($4500) Brown has received a large uptick in targets with John Brown and J.J. Nelson hurt. His success means that he should maintain his targets even when they return. He has scored double digit DK points in each of the games where he has played.
Zay Jones ($3600) No doubt, Jones has sucked so far. But with Jordan Matthews’ injury the Bills are perilously low on receivers and they cannot throw to Charles Clay on every play. Assuming that Jones catches four of eight hypothetical targets, that would put him at an eight point floor with upside. When you are dealing with a $3600 price, that is a good floor.
Trent Taylor ($3400) I would almost rather go with Taylor over Jones because he drew 10 targets last week and Marqise Goodwin would be highly unlikely to play after suffering another concussion. Juicy matchup with the Colts upcoming and even Brian Hoyer can’t mess this one up.
Tyler Kroft ($3,200) Assuming that Tyler Eifert sits again on Sunday, Kroft will be a high owned play at TE. One caveat, the Bills defense is much more viable than the Browns so don’t expect a repeat of last week’s two TD performance, but 10 DK points is likely if Kroft starts.
Ed Dickson ($2,900) After chunking in his first start in relief of Greg Olson, Dickson had a few long catches last week. I would rather get the eight points from Dickson than spend another $1200 for four more points from an Engram or ASJ type player.
Buffalo ($2600) This unit held up on the road against the Falcons, even scoring a TD and its price has not increased by much against a weaker Bengals team. The price is low because they are a road team, but look at what the Bengals did at home against Baltimore week 1.
San Francisco ($2600) Versus Indianapolis and Jacoby Brissett. Two sacks and two turnover are enough for the 49ers D to return value at this price.